Sunday, 16 March 2014

Is Congress leadership has conceded General Election 2014

16 03 2014 DSCN3738
Many Congress central leaders fear lower house election and their fear is out from their  private halls to public domain but the scion of Gandhi-Nehru family put on brave face and said after  ten years in power “there is a certain amount of anti-incumbency against us”, the Congress campaign chief, nevertheless, disagreed with senior party leader and Finance Minister P Chidambaram’s view that the party was an underdog and faced an uphill task.
Ghulam Nabi Azad Federal minister too has shown his discomfort to contest the elections.Most of the ministers in private feel that Anti Congress wave exists but wait for BJP and its PM candidate Modi to make judgmental errors on their performance of selection of candidate to contest strategy but om the contrary BJP election plan  appears to be design by well known thinkers not necessary from the party but from the corporate Groups and are bent in scoring against the oldest party of the nation.
People perception before thirty days of ensuing elections feel the Congress will make record of its lowest number of parliamentarians and put the figure of half of the worst it fared  114 during 1999 General election  thus putting the number around 60-90 candidates as their image of governance in last three years has reached lowest ebb.
Going through Wikipedia results of 1-15 the General election are -

In general elections

In such scenario Congress loss would make BJP gain or not
Year General Election Seats Won Change in Seat  % of votes votes swing
Indian general election, 1951 1st Lok Sabha 364
44.99%
Indian general election, 1957 2nd Lok Sabha 371 Increase7 47.78% Increase 2.79%
Indian general election, 1962 3rd Lok Sabha 361 Decrease10 44.72% Decrease 3.06%
Indian general election, 1967 4th Lok Sabha 283 Decrease78 40.78% Decrease 2.94%
Indian general election, 1971 5th Lok Sabha 352 Increase69 43.68% Increase 2.90%
Indian general election, 1977 6th Lok Sabha 153 Decrease199 34.52% Decrease 9.16%
Indian general election, 1980 7th Lok Sabha 351 Increase 198 42.69% Increase 8.17%
Indian general election, 1984 8th Lok Sabha 415 Increase 64 49.01% Increase 6.32%
Indian general election, 1989 9th Lok Sabha 197 Decrease218 39.53% Decrease 9.48%
Indian general election, 1991 10th Lok Sabha 244 Increase 47 35.66% Decrease 3.87%
Indian general election, 1996 11th Lok Sabha 140 Decrease 104 28.80% Decrease 7.46%
Indian general election, 1998 12th Lok Sabha 141 Increase 1 25.82% Decrease 2.98%
Indian general election, 1999 13th Lok Sabha 114 Decrease 27 28.30% Increase 2.48%
Indian general election, 2004 14th Lok Sabha 145 Increase 32 26.7% Decrease 1.6%
Indian general election, 2009 15th Lok Sabha 206 Increase 61 28.55% Increase 2.02%
In such scenario will the loss of Congress be a gain of BJP is moot Q. Former CEC Dr SY Qurashi said that our awareness campaign for large chunk of voters to exercise their fundamental rights of vote is getting its valued effect as experience in last assembly election. He was addressing  media queries during a launch of Book titled, “India in shambles only Judiciary can save us”. Further political  experts are in the opinion that in the national interest people are being educated by various political and non political group by use of  social sites is putting great efforts to make 16th General election an interesting event. Many businessmen feel that in this economy cycle of stagflation which can continue for another three- four years until some sort of catalyst prevail to ease chronic recession, people going to vote, to sought clear verdict can bring optimism in day to day affairs of the nation.
Thus mood of public at large as on 1999, is if worst than Congress may suffer at center but its solace is that is has fourteen state in its kitty.
Many leaders in Congress thus find better to follow RS route rather than General elections and are making statement of Congress as under dogs.

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